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Publications

2026

Anupama K Xavier, Oisín Hamilton, Davide Faranda, Stéphane Vannitsem. Predictability of North Pacific blocking events: Analogue‐based analysis of historical MIROC6 simulations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2026, pp.e70104. ⟨10.1002/qj.70104⟩. ⟨hal-05475344⟩

2025

Kerry Emanuel, Tommaso Alberti, Stella Bourdin, Suzana J. Camargo, D Faranda, et al.. CYCLOPs: a Unified Framework for Surface Flux-Driven Cyclones Outside the Tropics. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2025, 6, pp.901-926. ⟨10.5194/wcd-6-901-2025⟩. ⟨hal-05237350⟩

Robin Noyelle, Arnaud Caubel, Yann Meurdesoif, Davide Faranda, Pascal Yiou. Evolution of the dynamics of centennial hot summers in Western Europe with climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 2025, 52 (14), ⟨10.1029/2025GL115552⟩. ⟨hal-05120601v2⟩

Ferran Lopez-Marti, Mireia Ginesta, Davide Faranda, Anna Rutgersson, Pascal Yiou, et al.. Future changes in compound explosive cyclones and atmospheric rivers in the North Atlantic. Earth System Dynamics, 2025, 16 (1), pp.169-187. ⟨10.5194/esd-16-169-2025⟩. ⟨hal-04908556⟩

Stella Bourdin, Suzana J Camargo, Chia-Ying Lee, Jonathan Lin, Mathieu Vrac, et al.. Improving analogues-based detection & attribution approaches for hurricanes. Environmental Research Letters, 2025, 20 (2), pp.024042. ⟨10.1088/1748-9326/adaa8d⟩. ⟨hal-04953944⟩

Tommaso Alberti, Fabio Florindo, Eelco J Rohling, Valerio Lucarini, Davide Faranda. Contrasting dynamics of past climate states and critical transitions via dimensional analysis. Scientific Reports, 2025, 15 (1), pp.13224. ⟨10.1038/s41598-025-96432-6⟩. ⟨hal-04674623v2⟩

Lia Rapella, Nicolas Viovy, Jan Polcher, Davide Faranda, Jordi Badosa, et al.. Simulating generic agrivoltaic systems with ORCHIDEE: Model development and multi-case study insights. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2025, 371, pp.110589. ⟨10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110589⟩. ⟨hal-05345173⟩

Chenyu Dong, Davide Faranda, Adriano Gualandi, Valerio Lucarini, Gianmarco Mengaldo. Time-lagged recurrence: A data-driven method to estimate the predictability of dynamical systems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025, 122 (20), ⟨10.1073/pnas.2420252122⟩. ⟨hal-04709054v2⟩

Ane Carina Reiter, Gabriele Messori, Davide Faranda, Morten Andreas Dahl Larsen, Martin Drews. Robustness of dynamical coupling between wintertime European weather extremes and the large-scale circulation. Climate Dynamics, 2025, 63 (10), pp.399. ⟨10.1007/s00382-025-07846-x⟩. ⟨hal-05322102⟩

Stefano Galatolo, Davide Faranda. A logarithm law for nonautonomous systems fastly converging to equilibrium and mean field coupled systems. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2025, 35 (2), ⟨10.1063/5.0221721⟩. ⟨hal-04549099⟩

Matthieu Aguilera, Chantal Mathis, Karin Herbeaux, Amine Isik, Davide Faranda, et al.. 40 Hz light stimulation restores early brain dynamics alterations and associative memory in Alzheimer’s disease model mice. Imaging Neuroscience, 2025, 3, ⟨10.1162/IMAG.a.70⟩. ⟨hal-05186371⟩

Aglaé Jézéquel, Davide Faranda, Philippe Drobinski, Piero Lionello. Extreme Event Attribution in the Mediterranean. International Journal of Climatology, 2025, ⟨10.1002/joc.8799⟩. ⟨hal-04987959⟩

Davide Faranda, Yuzuru Sato, Chenyu Dong, Adriano Gualandi, Robin Noyelle, et al.. El Niño and droughts in Southeast Asia: A stochastic-chaotic modeling approach. Physical Review E , 2025, 111 (6), pp.064209. ⟨10.1103/PhysRevE.111.064209⟩. ⟨hal-04928658v2⟩

Robin Noyelle, Davide Faranda, Yoann Robin, Mathieu Vrac, Pascal Yiou. Attributing the occurrence and intensity of extreme events with the flow analogue method. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2025, 6 (3), pp.817-839. ⟨10.5194/wcd-6-817-2025⟩. ⟨hal-05230911⟩

George Zittis, Tommaso Alberti, Mansour Almazroui, Fatima Driouech, Davide Faranda, et al.. Analysis of the 2024 Hajj heat event and future temperature extremes in Mecca. npj Natural Hazards, 2025, 2 (1), pp.107. ⟨10.1038/s44304-025-00159-3⟩. ⟨hal-05445166⟩

Chenyu Dong, Gabriele Messori, Davide Faranda, Adriano Gualandi, Valerio Lucarini, et al.. Spatio-temporal dynamical indices for complex systems. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2025, 201, pp.117248. ⟨10.1016/j.chaos.2025.117248⟩. ⟨hal-05307273⟩

Emmanouil Flaounas, Stavros Dafis, Silvio Davolio, Davide Faranda, Christian Ferrarin, et al.. Dynamics, predictability, impacts, and climate change considerations of the catastrophic Mediterranean Storm Daniel (2023). Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2025, 6 (4), pp.1515-1538. ⟨10.5194/wcd-6-1515-2025⟩. ⟨hal-04982214v2⟩

Lia Rapella, Tommaso Alberti, Davide Faranda, Philippe Drobinski. Anthropogenic climate change has increased severity of mid-latitude storms and impacted airport operations. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2025, 6 (4), pp.1339 - 1363. ⟨10.5194/wcd-6-1339-2025⟩. ⟨hal-05354066⟩

Flavio Pons, Tommaso Alberti, Gabriele Messori, François Dulac, Davide Faranda. Assessing climate change impacts on the March 2024 compound floods and Saharan dust outbreak in Europe. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2025, 130 (12), ⟨10.1029/2024JD042218⟩. ⟨hal-04674610v2⟩

Davide Faranda. Enhancing public understanding of extreme weather events in a changing climate through ClimaMeter. Frontiers in Climate, 2025, 7, ⟨10.3389/fclim.2025.1688221⟩. ⟨hal-04947941v3⟩

Wilson Chan, Lucy J Barker, Davide Faranda, Jamie Hannaford. River flow amplification under climate change: attribution and climate-driven storylines of the winter 2023/24 UK floods. Environmental Research Letters, In press, ⟨10.1088/1748-9326/adfdfe⟩. ⟨hal-05230897v2⟩

2024

Andreia N S Hisi, Yoann Robin, Davide Faranda, Mathieu Vrac. CDSupdate: A meta-interface for ERA5 download request, management and storage. SoftwareX, 2024, 28, pp.101965. ⟨10.1016/j.softx.2024.101965⟩. ⟨hal-04791244⟩

Mireia Ginesta, Emmanouil Flaounas, Pascal Yiou, Davide Faranda. Anthropogenic climate change will intensify European explosive storms similar to Alex, Eunice, and Xynthia in the future. Journal of Climate, 2024, 37 (21), pp.5427-5452. ⟨10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0761.1⟩. ⟨hal-04477289v2⟩

Lucas Fery, Davide Faranda. Analysing 23 years of warm-season derechos in France: a climatology and investigation of synoptic and environmental changes. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2024, 5 (1), pp.439-461. ⟨10.5194/wcd-5-439-2024⟩. ⟨hal-04002953v2⟩

Tommaso Alberti, Davide Faranda, Lia Rapella, Erika Coppola, Fabio Lepreti, et al.. Impacts of changing atmospheric circulation patterns on aircraft turbulence over Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, 51, pp.e2024GL111618. ⟨10.1029/2024GL111618⟩. ⟨hal-04674590v2⟩

Davide Faranda, Stella Bourdin, Suzana J. Camargo, Chia-Ying Lee, Sébastien Fromang. Understanding Tropical Cyclones in the Anthropocene: Physics, Simulations, and Attribution. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2024, 105, pp.E2307-E2315. ⟨10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0252.1⟩. ⟨hal-04693253v2⟩

Fabio d'Andrea, Jean-Philippe Duvel, Gwendal Rivière, Robert Vautard, Christophe Cassou, et al.. Summer Deep Depressions Increase Over the Eastern North Atlantic. Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, 51 (5), ⟨10.1029/2023GL104435⟩. ⟨hal-04488347⟩

Chenyu Dong, Robin Noyelle, Gabriele Messori, Adriano Gualandi, Lucas Fery, et al.. Indo-Pacific regional extremes aggravated by changes in tropical weather patterns. Nature Geoscience, 2024, 17 (10), pp.979-986. ⟨10.1038/s41561-024-01537-8⟩. ⟨hal-04730524⟩

Davide Faranda, Gabriele Messori, Erika Coppola, Tommaso Alberti, Mathieu Vrac, et al.. ClimaMeter: contextualizing extreme weather in a changing climate. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2024, 5, pp.959-983. ⟨10.5194/wcd-5-959-2024⟩. ⟨hal-04274943v4⟩

Davide Faranda, Théo Lacombe, Nina Otter, Kristian Strommen. Climate Science at the Interface Between Topological Data Analysis and Dynamical Systems Theory. Notices of the American Mathematical Society, 2024, 71, pp.267-271. ⟨10.1090/noti2864⟩. ⟨hal-04396161⟩

Adriano Gualandi, Luca Dal Zilio, Davide Faranda, Giamarco Mengaldo. Similarities and Differences Between Natural and Simulated Slow Earthquakes. Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, 51 (14), ⟨10.1029/2024GL109845⟩. ⟨hal-04650891⟩

Aglaé Jézéquel, Ana Bastos, Davide Faranda, Joyce Kimutai, Natacha Le Grix, et al.. Broadening the scope of anthropogenic influence in extreme event attribution. Environmental Research: Climate, 2024, 3 (4), pp.042003. ⟨10.1088/2752-5295/ad7527⟩. ⟨hal-04668413⟩

Davide Faranda, Gabriele Messori, Tommaso Alberti, M Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Théophile Caby, et al.. Statistical physics and dynamical systems perspectives on geophysical extreme events. Physical Review E , 2024, 110 (4), pp.041001. ⟨10.1103/PhysRevE.110.041001⟩. ⟨hal-04214322v4⟩

2023

Pascal Yiou, Camille Cadiou, Davide Faranda, Aglaé Jézéquel, Nemo Malhomme, et al.. Ensembles of climate simulations to anticipate worst case heatwaves during the Paris 2024 Olympics. npj climate and atmospheric science, 2023, 6 (1), pp.188. ⟨10.1038/s41612-023-00500-5⟩. ⟨hal-03921111v2⟩

Tommaso Alberti, Paola de Michelis, Lucia Santarelli, Davide Faranda, Giuseppe Consolini, et al.. Tracking Geomagnetic Storms with Dynamical System Approach: Ground-Based Observations. Remote Sensing, 2023, 15 (12), pp.3031. ⟨10.3390/rs15123031⟩. ⟨hal-04124307⟩

Tommaso Alberti, Francois Daviaud, Reik Donner, Berengere Dubrulle, Davide Faranda, et al.. Chameleon attractors in turbulent flows. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2023, 168, pp.113195. ⟨10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113195⟩. ⟨hal-03498544⟩

Tommaso Alberti, Marco Anzidei, Davide Faranda, Antonio Vecchio, Marco Favaro, et al.. Dynamical diagnostic of extreme events in Venice lagoon and their mitigation with the MoSE. Scientific Reports, 2023, 13 (1), pp.10475. ⟨10.1038/s41598-023-36816-8⟩. ⟨hal-04048564v2⟩

Davide Faranda, Mireia Ginesta, Tommaso Alberti, Erika Coppola, Marco Anzidei. Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy. npj climate and atmospheric science, 2023, 6 (181), pp.s41612-023-00513-0. ⟨10.1038/s41612-023-00513-0⟩. ⟨hal-04050250v2⟩

Flavio Maria Emanuele Pons, Gabriele Messori, Davide Faranda. Statistical performance of local attractor dimension estimators in non-Axiom A dynamical systems. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2023, 33 (7), pp.073143. ⟨10.1063/5.0152370⟩. ⟨hal-04051659v2⟩

Adriano Gualandi, Davide Faranda, Chris Marone, Massimo Cocco, Gianmarco Mengaldo. Deterministic and stochastic chaos characterize laboratory earthquakes. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 2023, 604, pp.117995. ⟨10.1016/j.epsl.2023.117995⟩. ⟨hal-03632703v2⟩

Gabriele Messori, Davide Faranda. On the Systematic Occurrence of Compound Cold Spells in North America and Wet or Windy Extremes in Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, 50 (7), ⟨10.1029/2022GL101008⟩. ⟨hal-03764706v2⟩

Emma Holmberg, Gabriele Messori, Rodrigo Caballero, Davide Faranda. The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence. Earth System Dynamics, 2023, 14 (4), pp.737 - 765. ⟨10.5194/esd-14-737-2023⟩. ⟨hal-04185211v2⟩

Robert Vautard, Julien Cattiaux, Tamara Happé, Jitendra Singh, Rémy Bonnet, et al.. Heat extremes in Western Europe increasing faster than simulated due to atmospheric circulation trends. Nature Communications, 2023, 14 (1), pp.6803. ⟨10.1038/s41467-023-42143-3⟩. ⟨hal-04266530v4⟩

Lia Rapella, Davide Faranda, Marco Gaetani, Philippe Drobinski, Mireia Ginesta. Climate change on extreme winds already affects off-shore wind power availability in Europe. Environmental Research Letters, 2023, 18 (3), pp.034040. ⟨10.1088/1748-9326/acbdb2⟩. ⟨hal-03840084v2⟩

Davide Faranda, Gabriele Messori, Stella Bourdin, Mathieu Vrac, Soulivanh Thao, et al.. Correcting biases in tropical cyclone intensities in low-resolution datasets using dynamical systems metrics. Climate Dynamics, 2023, https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-023-06794-8. ⟨10.1007/s00382-023-06794-8⟩. ⟨hal-03631098v2⟩

Mathieu Casado, Raphaël Hébert, Davide Faranda, Amaelle Landais. The quandary of detecting the signature of climate change in Antarctica. Nature Climate Change, 2023, 13, pp.1082-1088. ⟨10.1038/s41558-023-01791-5⟩. ⟨hal-04202689⟩

Robin Noyelle, Yi Zhang, Pascal Yiou, Davide Faranda. Maximal reachable temperatures for Western Europe in current climate. Environmental Research Letters, 2023, ⟨10.1088/1748-9326/acf679⟩. ⟨hal-04210152⟩

Robin Noyelle, Vivien Guette, Akim Viennet, Bénédicte Colnet, Davide Faranda, et al.. Decrease of the spatial variability and local dimension of the Euro-Atlantic eddy-driven jet stream with global warming. Climate Dynamics, 2023, ⟨10.1007/s00382-023-07022-z⟩. ⟨hal-04337045⟩

Alexandre Vallée, Davide Faranda, Maxence Arutkin. COVID-19 epidemic peaks distribution in the United-States of America, from epidemiological modeling to public health policies. Scientific Reports, 2023, 13 (1), pp.4996. ⟨10.1038/s41598-023-30014-2⟩. ⟨hal-04052362⟩

Robin Noyelle, Pascal Yiou, Davide Faranda. Investigating the typicality of the dynamics leading to extreme temperatures in the IPSL-CM6A-LR model. Climate Dynamics, 2023, 62 (2), pp.1329-1357. ⟨10.1007/s00382-023-06967-5⟩. ⟨hal-04043595⟩

Davide Faranda, Salvatore Pascale, Burak Bulut. Persistent anticyclonic conditions and climate change exacerbated the exceptional 2022 European-Mediterranean drought. Environmental Research Letters, 2023, 18 (3), pp.034030. ⟨10.1088/1748-9326/acbc37⟩. ⟨hal-03907855v3⟩

T Alberti, Davide Faranda, V Lucarini, R V Donner, Berengere Dubrulle, et al.. Scale dependence of fractal dimension in deterministic and stochastic Lorenz-63 systems. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2023, ⟨10.1063/5.0106053⟩. ⟨hal-03707052v2⟩

Camille Cadiou, Robin Noyelle, Nemo Malhomme, Davide Faranda. Challenges in attributing the 2022 Australian rain bombs to climate change. Asia Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2023, 59, pp.83-94. ⟨10.1007/s13143-022-00305-1⟩. ⟨hal-03722233v2⟩

Davide Faranda, Gabriele Messori, Aglaé Jézéquel, Mathieu Vrac, Pascal Yiou. Atmospheric circulation compounds anthropogenic warming and impacts of climate extremes in Europe. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023, 120 (13), pp.e2214525120. ⟨10.1073/pnas.2214525120⟩. ⟨hal-03456537v3⟩

Mireia Ginesta, Pascal Yiou, Gabriele Messori, Davide Faranda. A methodology for attributing extratropical cyclones to climate change: the case study of storm Alex 2020. Climate Dynamics, 2023, 61, pp.229-253. ⟨10.1007/s00382-022-06565-x⟩. ⟨hal-03658139v2⟩

Davide Faranda, Gabriele Messori, Pascal Yiou, Soulivanh Thao, Flavio Pons, et al.. Dynamical footprints of Hurricanes in the Tropical Dynamics. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2023, 33, pp.013101. ⟨10.1063/5.0093732⟩. ⟨hal-03219409v4⟩

2022

Francesco Carbone, Tommaso Alberti, Davide Faranda, Daniele Telloni, Giuseppe Consolini, et al.. Local dimensionality and inverse persistence analysis of atmospheric turbulence in the stable boundary layer. Physical Review E , 2022, 106, pp.064211. ⟨10.1103/PhysRevE.106.064211⟩. ⟨hal-03879836⟩

Bérengère Dubrulle, François Daviaud, Davide Faranda, Louis Marié, Brice Saint-Michel. How many modes are needed to predict climate bifurcations? Lessons from an experiment. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 2022, 29, pp.17-35. ⟨10.5194/npg-29-17-2022⟩. ⟨hal-03230580v2⟩

Akim Viennet, Nikki Vercauteren, Maximilian Engel, Davide Faranda. Guidelines for data-driven approaches to study transitions in multiscale systems: The case of Lyapunov vectors. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2022, 32, pp.113145. ⟨10.1063/5.0093804⟩. ⟨hal-03626146v2⟩

Davide Faranda, Stella Bourdin, Mireia Ginesta, Meriem Krouma, Gabriele Messori, et al.. A climate-change attribution retrospective of some impactful weather extremes of 2021. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2022, 3, pp.1311-1340. ⟨10.5194/wcd-3-1311-2022⟩. ⟨hal-03558636v2⟩

Flavio Maria Emanuele Pons, Davide Faranda. Statistical reconstruction of European winter snowfall in reanalysis and climate models based on air temperature and total precipitation. Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography, 2022, 8, pp.155-186. ⟨10.5194/ascmo-8-155-2022⟩. ⟨hal-02988109⟩

Miriam d'Errico, Flavio Pons, Pascal Yiou, Soulivanh Tao, Cesare Nardini, et al.. Present and future synoptic circulation patterns associated with cold and snowy spells over Italy. Earth System Dynamics, 2022, 13 (2), pp.961 - 992. ⟨10.5194/esd-13-961-2022⟩. ⟨hal-03693696⟩

Lucas Fery, Berengere Dubrulle, Berengere Podvin, Flavio Pons, Davide Faranda. Learning a weather dictionary of atmospheric patterns using Latent Dirichlet Allocation. Geophysical Research Letters, 2022, 49, pp.e2021GL096184. ⟨10.1029/2021GL096184⟩. ⟨hal-03258523⟩

Tommaso Alberti, Davide Faranda, Giuseppe Consolini, Paola de Michelis, Reik Donner, et al.. Concurrent Effects between Geomagnetic Storms and Magnetospheric Substorms. Universe, 2022, 8, pp.226. ⟨10.3390/universe8040226⟩. ⟨hal-03632507⟩

2021

Maxence Arutkin, Davide Faranda, Tommaso Alberti, Alexandre Vallée. Delayed epidemic peak caused by infection and recovery rate fluctuations. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2021, 31 (10), pp.101107. ⟨10.1063/5.0067625⟩. ⟨hal-03406309⟩

Gabriele Messori, Emanuele Bevacqua, Rodrigo Caballero, Dim Coumou, Paolo de Luca, et al.. Compound climate events and extremes in the mid-latitudes: dynamics, simulation and statistical characterisation. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2021, 102 (4), pp.E774-E781. ⟨10.1175/bams-d-20-0289.1⟩. ⟨hal-03193711⟩

Tommaso Alberti, Davide Faranda, Reik V Donner, Theophile Caby, Vincenzo Carbone, et al.. Small-scale Induced Large-scale Transitions in Solar Wind Magnetic Field. The Astrophysical Journal Letters, 2021, 914:L6, pp.1-7. ⟨10.3847/2041-8213/ac0148⟩. ⟨hal-03189425v2⟩

K. Giamalaki, C. Beaulieu, S. A Henson, A. P Martin, H. Kassem, et al.. Future intensification of extreme Aleutian low events and their climate impacts. Scientific Reports, 2021, 11, pp.18395. ⟨10.1038/s41598-021-97615-7⟩. ⟨hal-03345492⟩

Davide Faranda, Mathieu Vrac, Pascal Yiou, Flavio Maria Emanuele Pons, Adnane Hamid, et al.. Enhancing geophysical flow machine learning performance via scale separation. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 2021, 28 (3), pp.423 - 443. ⟨10.5194/npg-28-423-2021⟩. ⟨hal-03341712v3⟩

Gabriele Messori, Davide Faranda. Technical Note: Characterising and comparing different palaeoclimates with dynamical systems theory. Climate of the Past, 2021, 17 (1), pp.545-563. ⟨10.5194/cp-17-545-2021⟩. ⟨hal-02932042⟩

Th Caby, Davide Faranda, S. Vaienti, Pascal Yiou. Extreme value distributions of observation recurrences. Nonlinearity, 2021, 34 (1), pp.118-163. ⟨10.1088/1361-6544/abaff1⟩. ⟨hal-02904585⟩

Pascal Yiou, Davide Faranda, Soulivanh Thao, Mathieu Vrac. Projected changes in the atmospheric dynamics of climate extremes in France. Atmosphere, 2021, 12 (11), pp.1440. ⟨10.3390/atmos12111440⟩. ⟨hal-03355316v2⟩

Davide Faranda, Tommaso Alberti, Maxence Arutkin, Valerio Lembo, Valerio Lucarini. Interrupting vaccination policies can greatly spread SARS-CoV-2 and enhance mortality from COVID-19 disease: the AstraZeneca case for France and Italy. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2021, 31 (4), pp.041105. ⟨10.1063/5.0050887⟩. ⟨hal-03172578v2⟩

Gabriele Messori, Nili Harnik, Erica Madonna, Orli Lachmy, Davide Faranda. A Dynamical Systems Characterisation of Atmospheric Jet Regimes. Earth System Dynamics, 2021, 12, pp.233-251. ⟨10.5194/esd-12-233-2021⟩. ⟨hal-02901407⟩

2020

Davide Faranda, Mathieu Vrac, Pascal Yiou, Aglaé Jézéquel, Soulivanh Thao. Changes in future synoptic circulation patterns: consequences for extreme event attribution. Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, 47, pp.e2020GL088002. ⟨10.1029/2020GL088002⟩. ⟨hal-02337890⟩

Paolo de Luca, Gabriele Messori, Davide Faranda, Philip J Ward, Dim Coumou. Compound Hot-Dry and Cold-Wet Dynamical Extremes Over the Mediterranean. Earth System Dynamics, 2020, 11 (3), pp.793-805. ⟨10.5194/esd-11-793-2020⟩. ⟨hal-02901402⟩

Th Caby, D. Faranda, Sandro Vaienti, Pascal Yiou. On the Computation of the Extremal Index for Time Series. Journal of Statistical Physics, 2020, 179 (5-6), pp.1666-1697. ⟨10.1007/s10955-019-02423-z⟩. ⟨hal-02450472⟩

Tommaso Alberti, Davide Faranda. On the uncertainty of real-time predictions of epidemic growths: A COVID-19 case study for China and Italy. Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation, 2020, 90, pp.105372. ⟨10.1016/j.cnsns.2020.105372⟩. ⟨hal-02894992⟩

Flavio Maria Emanuele Pons, Gabriele Messori, M Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Davide Faranda. Sampling hyperspheres via extreme value theory: implications for measuring attractor dimensions. Journal of Statistical Physics, 2020, ⟨10.1007/s10955-020-02573-5⟩. ⟨hal-01650250v3⟩

Amandine Kaiser, Davide Faranda, Sebastian Krumscheid, Danijel Belušić, Nikki Vercauteren. Detecting Regime Transitions of the Nocturnal and Polar Near-Surface Temperature Inversion. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2020, 77 (8), pp.2921-2940. ⟨10.1175/JAS-D-19-0287.1⟩. ⟨hal-02909915⟩

Davide Faranda, Isaac Pérez Castillo, Oliver Hulme, Aglaé Jézéquel, Jeroen Lamb, et al.. Asymptotic estimates of SARS-CoV-2 infection counts and their sensitivity to stochastic perturbation. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2020, 30 (5), pp.051107. ⟨10.1063/5.0008834⟩. ⟨hal-02668288⟩

Davide Faranda, Tommaso Alberti. Modelling the second wave of COVID-19 infections in France and Italy via a Stochastic SEIR model. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2020, 30, pp.111101. ⟨10.1063/5.0015943⟩. ⟨hal-02668318v3⟩

Davide Faranda. An attempt to explain recent trends in European snowfall extremes. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2020, 1, pp.445-458. ⟨10.5194/wcd-1-445-2020⟩. ⟨hal-02901400⟩

Pascal Yiou, Julien Cattiaux, Davide Faranda, Nikolay Kadygrov, Aglaé Jézéquel, et al.. Analyses of the Northern European Summer Heatwave of 2018. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2020, 101 (1), pp.S35-S40. ⟨10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0170.1⟩. ⟨hal-02895056⟩

Yoshito Hirata, Yuzuru Sato, Davide Faranda. Permutations uniquely identify states and unknown external forces in non-autonomous dynamical systems. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2020, 30, pp.103103. ⟨10.1063/5.0009450⟩. ⟨hal-02949037⟩

A. Gualandi, Jean-Philippe Avouac, S. Michel, Davide Faranda. The predictable chaos of slow earthquakes. Science Advances , 2020, 6 (27), pp.eaaz5548. ⟨10.1126/sciadv.aaz5548⟩. ⟨hal-02887201⟩

P. de Luca, G. Messori, F. M. E. Pons, Davide Faranda. Dynamical systems theory sheds new light on compound climate extremes in Europe and Eastern North America. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2020, 146 (729), pp.1636-1650. ⟨10.1002/qj.3757⟩. ⟨hal-02895084⟩

Davide Faranda, Gabriele Messori, Pascal Yiou. Diagnosing concurrent drivers of weather extremes: application to hot and cold days in North America. Climate Dynamics, 2020, 54, pp.2187-2201. ⟨10.1007/s00382-019-05106-3⟩. ⟨hal-02095205v2⟩

2019

Davide Faranda, Bérengère Podvin, Anne Sergent. On reversals in 2D turbulent Rayleigh-Bénard convection: insights from embedding theory and comparison with Proper Orthogonal Decomposition analysis. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2019, 29 (29), pp.033110. ⟨10.1063/1.5081031⟩. ⟨hal-01701353v2⟩

Nicholas Moloney, Davide Faranda, Yuzuru Sato. An overview of the extremal index. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2019, 29 (2), pp.022101. ⟨10.1063/1.5079656⟩. ⟨hal-02334271⟩

Davide Faranda, Gabriele Messori, Stéphane Vannitsem. Attractor dimension of time-averaged climate observables: insights from a low-order ocean-atmosphere model. Tellus A: Dynamic meteorology and oceanography, 2019, ⟨10.1080/16000870.2018.1554413⟩. ⟨hal-01759822⟩

Nikki Vercauteren, Vyacheslav Boyko, Davide Faranda, Ivana Stiperski. Scale interactions and anisotropy in stable boundary layers. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2019, 145 (722), pp.1799-1813. ⟨10.1002/qj.3524⟩. ⟨hal-02334272⟩

Davide Faranda, M Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Gabriele Messori, David Rodrigues, Pascal Yiou. The hammam effect or how a warm ocean enhances large scale atmospheric predictability. Nature Communications, 2019, 10, pp.1316. ⟨10.1038/s41467-019-09305-8⟩. ⟨hal-02334273⟩

Theophile Caby, Davide Faranda, Giorgio Mantica, Sandro Vaienti, Pascal Yiou. Generalized dimensions, large deviations and the distribution of rare events. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 2019, 400, pp.132143. ⟨10.1016/j.physd.2019.06.009⟩. ⟨hal-01941189⟩

Davide Faranda, Yuzuru Sato, Gabriele Messori, Nicholas Moloney, Pascal Yiou. Minimal dynamical systems model of the Northern Hemisphere jet stream via embedding of climate data. Earth System Dynamics, 2019, 10 (3), pp.555-567. ⟨10.5194/esd-10-555-2019⟩. ⟨hal-02895042⟩

M. Alvarez-Castro, Davide Faranda, Thomas Noel, Pascal Yiou. Recurrence Spectra of European Temperature in Historical Climate Simulations. Atmosphere, 2019, 10 (4), pp.166. ⟨10.3390/atmos10040166⟩. ⟨hal-02334274⟩

2018

Davide Faranda, Valerio Lembo, Manasa Iyer, Denis Kuzzay, Sergio Chibbaro, et al.. Computation and characterization of local sub-filter-scale energy transfers in atmospheric flows. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2018, ⟨10.1175/JAS-D-17-0114.1⟩. ⟨hal-01566028v3⟩

Claire Waelbroeck, Sylvain Pichat, Evelyn Böhm, Bryan Lougheed, Davide Faranda, et al.. Relative timing of precipitation and ocean circulation changes in the western equatorial Atlantic over the last 45 kyr. Climate of the Past, 2018, 14 (9), pp.1315-1330. ⟨10.5194/cp-14-1315-2018⟩. ⟨hal-02407248⟩

Gabriele Messori, Rodrigo Caballero, Freddy Bouchet, Davide Faranda, Richard Grotjahn, et al.. An Interdisciplinary Approach to the Study of Extreme Weather Events: Large-Scale Atmospheric Controls and Insights from Dynamical Systems Theory and Statistical Mechanics. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2018, 99 (5), pp.ES81-ES85. ⟨10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0296.1⟩. ⟨hal-02324731⟩

M Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Davide Faranda, Pascal Yiou. Atmospheric dynamics leading to West European summer hot temperatures since 1851. Complexity, 2018, 2018, pp.2494509. ⟨10.1155/2018/2494509⟩. ⟨hal-01370975v3⟩

David Rodrigues, M Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Gabriele Messori, Pascal Yiou, Yoann Robin, et al.. Dynamical properties of the North Atlantic atmospheric circulation in the past 150 years in CMIP5 models and the 20CRv2c Reanalysis. Journal of Climate, 2018, ⟨10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0176.1⟩. ⟨hal-01504478v2⟩

D. Faranda, H. Ghoudi, P. Guiraud, Sandro Vaienti. Extreme value theory for synchronization of coupled map lattices. Nonlinearity, 2018, 31 (7), pp.3326-3358. ⟨10.1088/1361-6544/aabc8e⟩. ⟨hal-01768182⟩

Martin Mihelich, Bérengère Dubrulle, Didier Paillard, Quentin Kral, Davide Faranda. Maximum Kolmogorov-Sinai Entropy Versus Minimum Mixing Time in Markov Chains. Journal of Statistical Physics, 2018, 170, pp.62 - 68. ⟨10.1007/s10955-017-1874-z⟩. ⟨cea-01687782⟩

P. Debue, V. Shukla, D. Kuzzay, D. Faranda, E.-W. Saw, et al.. Dissipation, intermittency, and singularities in incompressible turbulent flows. Physical Review E , 2018, 97 (5), pp.053101. ⟨10.1103/PhysRevE.97.053101⟩. ⟨hal-01871198⟩

K. Giamalaki, C. Beaulieu, Davide Faranda, S. A. Henson, S. Josey, et al.. Signatures of the 1976–1977 Regime Shift in the North Pacific Revealed by Statistical Analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research. Oceans, 2018, 123 (6), pp.4388-4397. ⟨10.1029/2017JC013718⟩. ⟨hal-02334268⟩

Davide Faranda, Sandro Vaienti. Correlation dimension and phase space contraction via extreme value theory. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2018, 28 (4), pp.041103. ⟨10.1063/1.5027386⟩. ⟨hal-01768181⟩

2017

Davide Faranda, Gabriele Messori, Pascal Yiou. Dynamical proxies of North Atlantic predictability and extremes. Scientific Reports, 2017, ⟨10.1038/srep41278⟩. ⟨hal-01340301⟩

Martin Mihelich, Davide Faranda, Didier Paillard, Bérengère Dubrulle. Is Turbulence a State of Maximal Dissipation?. Entropy, 2017, ⟨10.3390/e19040154⟩. ⟨hal-01460706v2⟩

Emmanuel Virot, Davide Faranda, Xavier Amandolese, Pascal Hemon. Chaotic Dynamics of Flags from Recurring Values of Flapping Moment. International journal of bifurcation and chaos in applied sciences and engineering , 2017, 27 (2), pp.1750020. ⟨10.1142/S0218127417500201⟩. ⟨hal-02886449⟩

Davide Faranda, Y Sato, B. Saint-Michel, Cécile Wiertel-Gasquet, Vincent Padilla, et al.. Stochastic Chaos in a Turbulent Swirling Flow. Physical Review Letters, 2017, 119 (1), pp.014502. ⟨10.1103/PhysRevLett.119.014502⟩. ⟨cea-01567893⟩

Denis Kuzzay, Ewe-Wei Saw, Fabio J.W.A. Martins, Davide Faranda, Jean-Marc Foucaut, et al.. New method for detecting singularities in experimental incompressible flows. Nonlinearity, 2017, 30 (6), pp.2381-2402. ⟨10.1088/1361-6544/aa6aaf⟩. ⟨hal-02886490⟩

Davide Faranda, Gabriele Messori, M Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Pascal Yiou. Dynamical properties and extremes of Northern Hemisphere climate fields over the past 60 years. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 2017, 24 (4), pp.713-725. ⟨10.5194/npg-24-713-2017⟩. ⟨hal-02886524⟩

Davide Faranda, Martin Mihelich, Bérengère Dubrulle. A non-equilibrium Ising model of turbulence. Phase Transitions, 2017, 90 (11), pp.1079-1088. ⟨10.1080/01411594.2017.1323083⟩. ⟨hal-02893842⟩

Guillaume Nevo, Nikki Vercauteren, Amandine Kaiser, Bérengère Dubrulle, Davide Faranda. Statistical-mechanical approach to study the hydrodynamic stability of the stably stratified atmospheric boundary layer. Physical Review Fluids, 2017, 2 (084603), ⟨10.1103/PhysRevFluids.2.084603⟩. ⟨hal-01413073v2⟩

Gabriele Messori, Rodrigo Caballero, Davide Faranda. A Dynamical Systems Approach to Studying Mid-Latitude Weather Extremes. Geophysical Research Letters, 2017, pp.GL0728879. ⟨10.1002/2017GL072879⟩. ⟨hal-01460728⟩

2016

Davide Faranda, M Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Pascal Yiou. Return times of hot and cold days via recurrences and extreme value theory. Climate Dynamics, 2016, 47, pp.3803-3815. ⟨10.1007/s00382-016-3042-6⟩. ⟨hal-01232444⟩

Davide Faranda, Dimitri Defrance. A wavelet-based approach to detect climate change on the coherent and turbulent component of the atmospheric circulation. Earth System Dynamics, 2016, 7, pp.517 - 523. ⟨10.5194/esd-7-517-2016⟩. ⟨cea-01493854⟩

Davide Faranda, Jorge Milhazes Freitas, Pierre Guiraud, Sandro Vaienti. Statistical Properties of Random Dynamical Systems with Contracting Direction. Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical, 2016, 49 (20), pp.204001. ⟨10.1088/1751-8113/49/20/204001⟩. ⟨hal-01258390⟩

E. -W. Saw, D. Kuzzay, D. Faranda, A. Guittonneau, F. Daviaud, et al.. Experimental characterization of extreme events of inertial dissipation in a turbulent swirling flow. Nature Communications, 2016, 7, pp.12466. ⟨10.1038/ncomms12466⟩. ⟨cea-01490836⟩

Davide Faranda, Jorge Milhazes Freitas, Pierre Guiraud, Sandro Vaienti. Extreme Value Theory for Piecewise Contracting Maps with Randomly Applied Stochastic Perturbations. Stochastics and Dynamics, 2016, 16 (3), pp.1660015. ⟨10.1142/S0219493716600157⟩. ⟨hal-01127758⟩

2015

Davide Faranda, Giacomo Masato, Nicholas Moloney, Yuzuru Sato, François Daviaud, et al.. The switching between zonal and blocked mid-latitude atmospheric circulation: a dynamical system perspective. Climate Dynamics, 2015, 2015 (6), pp.2921. ⟨10.1007/s00382-015-2921-6⟩. ⟨hal-01136648v2⟩

M. Mihelich, D. Faranda, Bérengère Dubrulle, D. Paillard. Statistical optimization for passive scalar transport: maximum entropy production versus maximum Kolmogorov–Sinai entropy. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 2015, 22, pp.187 - 196. ⟨10.5194/npg-22-187-2015⟩. ⟨cea-01490845⟩

Denis Kuzzay, Davide Faranda, Bérengère Dubrulle. Global vs local energy dissipation: The energy cycle of the turbulent von Kármán flow. Physics of Fluids, 2015, 27, pp.75105. ⟨10.1063/1.4923750⟩. ⟨cea-01367140⟩

Davide Faranda, Flavio Maria Emanuele Pons, Eugenio Giachino, Sandro Vaienti, Bérengère Dubrulle. Early warnings indicators of financial crises via auto regressive moving average models. Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation, 2015, 29 (1-3), pp.233-239. ⟨10.1016/j.cnsns.2015.05.002⟩. ⟨hal-01258385⟩

Davide Faranda, Jorge Milhazes Freitas, Pierre Guiraud, Sandro Vaienti. Sampling local properties of attractors via Extreme Value Theory. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2015, Extreme Events and its Applications, 74, pp.55-66. ⟨10.1016/j.chaos.2015.01.016⟩. ⟨hal-01126747⟩

2014

Davide Faranda, Bérengère Dubrulle, François Daviaud, Flavio Maria, Emanuele Pons. Probing turbulence intermittency via autoregressive moving-average models. Physical Review E : Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics [2001-2015], 2014, 90, pp.061001(R). ⟨10.1103/PhysRevE.90.061001⟩. ⟨cea-01370472⟩

Davide Faranda, Bérengère Dubrulle, Flavio Maria Emanuele Pons. Statistical early-warning indicators based on autoregressive moving-average models. Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical, 2014, 47, pp.252001. ⟨10.1088/1751-8113⟩. ⟨cea-01383485⟩

Davide Faranda, Sandro Vaienti. Extreme value laws for dynamical systems under observational noise. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 2014, 280-281, pp.86-94. ⟨10.1016/j.physd.2014.04.011⟩. ⟨hal-01126706⟩

Davide Faranda, Flavio Maria, Emanuele Pons, François Daviaud, Brice Saint-Michel, et al.. Modelling and analysis of turbulent datasets using Auto Regressive Moving Average processes. Physics of Fluids, 2014, 26, pp.105101. ⟨10.1063/1.4896637⟩. ⟨cea-01370486⟩

Davide Faranda, Mickaël Bourgoin, Sophie Miralles, Philippe Odier, Jean-François Pinton, et al.. Robust estimate of dynamo thresholds in the von Kármán sodium experiment using the extreme value theory. New Journal of Physics, 2014, 16, pp.083001. ⟨10.1088/1367-2630/16/8/083001⟩. ⟨hal-01079009⟩

Valerio Lucarini, Davide Faranda, Jeroen Wouters, Tobias Kuna. Towards a General Theory of Extremes for Observables of Chaotic Dynamical Systems. Journal of Statistical Physics, 2014, 154 (3), pp.723 - 750. ⟨10.1007/s10955-013-0914-6⟩. ⟨cea-01384238⟩

Davide Faranda, Xavier Leoncini, Sandro Vaienti. Mixing properties in the advection of passive tracers via recurrences and extreme value theory. Physical Review E : Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics [2001-2015], 2014, 90, pp.019902. ⟨10.1103/PhysRevE.89.052901⟩. ⟨hal-01126730⟩

Davide Faranda, Valerio Lucarini, Paul Manneville, Jeroen Wouters. On using extreme values to detect global stability thresholds in multi-stable systems: The case of transitional plane Couette flow. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2014, 64 (july), pp.26-35. ⟨10.1016/j.chaos.2014.01.008⟩. ⟨hal-01048577⟩

2013

Davide Faranda, Jorge Milhazes Freitas, Valerio Lucarini, Giorgio Turchetti, S. Vaienti. Extreme Value Statistics for Dynamical Systems with Noise. Nonlinearity, 2013, 26 (9), pp.2597-2622. ⟨10.1088/0951-7715/26/9/2597⟩. ⟨hal-01126656⟩

Davide Faranda, Sandro Vaienti. A recurrence-based technique for detecting genuine extremes in instrumental temperature records. Geophysical Research Letters, 2013, 40 (21), pp.5782-5786. ⟨10.1002/2013GL057811⟩. ⟨hal-01126695⟩

2012

Davide Faranda, Martin Federico Mestre, Giorgio Turchetti. Analysis of Round Off Errors with Reversibility test as a dynamical indicator. International journal of bifurcation and chaos in applied sciences and engineering , 2012, 22 (09), pp.1250215. ⟨10.1142/S021812741250215X⟩. ⟨hal-02886318⟩

Valerio Lucarini, Tobias Kuna, Jeroen Wouters, Davide Faranda. Relevance of sampling schemes in light of Ruelle's linear response theory. Nonlinearity, 2012, 25 (5), pp.1311-1327. ⟨10.1088/0951-7715/25/5/1311⟩. ⟨hal-02886326⟩

Davide Faranda, Valerio Lucarini, Giorgio Turchetti, Sandro Vaienti. Generalized Extreme Value distribution parameters as dynamical indicators of Stability. International journal of bifurcation and chaos in applied sciences and engineering , 2012, 22, pp.1250276. ⟨10.1142/S0218127412502768⟩. ⟨hal-00975712⟩

Valerio Lucarini, Davide Faranda, Matteo Willeit. Bistable systems with stochastic noise: virtues and limits of effective one-dimensional Langevin equations. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 2012, 19 (1), pp.9-22. ⟨10.5194/npg-19-9-2012⟩. ⟨hal-02886139⟩

Valerio Lucarini, Davide Faranda, Jeroen Wouters. Universal Behaviour of Extreme Value Statistics for Selected Observables of Dynamical Systems. Journal of Statistical Physics, 2012, 147 (1), pp.63-73. ⟨10.1007/s10955-012-0468-z⟩. ⟨hal-02886320⟩

Davide Faranda, Valerio Lucarini, Giorgio Turchetti, Sandro Vaienti. Extreme value theory for singular measures . Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2012, 22 (2), pp.023135. ⟨10.1063/1.4718935⟩. ⟨hal-00975713⟩

2011

Davide Faranda, Valerio Lucarini, Giorgio Turchetti, Sandro Vaienti. Numerical convergence of the block-maxima approach to the Generalized Extreme Value distribution. Journal of Statistical Physics, 2011, 145 (5), pp.1156-1180. ⟨10.1007/s10955-011-0234-7⟩. ⟨hal-00975709⟩